Price of DDR-3 ram going up!!! Buy now...

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Price of DDR-3 ram going up!!! Buy now...

Postby Hammer_Time » Mon Apr 22, 2013 1:32 pm

This recent increase in spot ram pricing has been predicted for months now, and is finally happening:

http://www.xbitlabs.com/news/memory/dis ... acker.html

Contract Price of 4GB DDR3 Memory Module Gains $2 in Two Weeks – Market Tracker.

Price of Mainstream Memory Modules May Hit $30 Shortly


[04/19/2013 04:27 PM]
by Anton Shilov

In the first half of April the DRAM price rally increased its pace so that the contract price of the most popular DDR3 4GB memory modules increased by up to $2.5 in two weeks. Despite of awful PC sales in Q1 2012, PC makers have begun restocking amid shrinking production of dynamic random access memory, which bolstered contract prices.

4GB Module’s Average Contract Price Hits $25.5

In the first half April contract price of 4GB DDR3 memory module increased by 8% to $25.5 - $26 per unit (from $23 in the second half of March), according to DRAMeXchange. A 2GB DDR3 memory module cost $14.75 on an average contract basis, an increase of over 5% in two weeks. The contract price of 4Gb DRAM IC capable of running at 1333MHz/1600MHz was $2.88 in the first half of April, whereas the DDR3 2Gb chip cost $1.44.

At press time, one untested [eTT] 2Gb DDR3 chip cost $1.54 on average at Taiwan's spot market, 2Gb DDR3 1333MHz/1600MHz chip's price was approximately $1.726/$1.705, whereas 4Gb DDR3 1600MHz memory IC was priced at $3.335 on average on the spot market.

The current price increases mark the fifth consecutive month of DRAM price growth, and a historical high of $30 per 4GB DDR3 module is not far off.


In recent years, the constant state of oversupply in the global memory market has taken a toll on not just PC DRAM prices, but also those of the more profitable server and mobile DRAMs. Even with the annual growth in production volume, the DRAM industry’s total revenue has experienced a yearly decline since 2010. During 2012, 2Gb DRAM prices dropped to as low as $0.6, whereas overall DRAM revenue shrunk to approximately $26.5 billion.

The long term losses suffered by the industry had been severe enough to prompt first-tier DRAM manufacturers to lower their capital expenditures, encourage firms like Elpida to merge with Micron, and force a large majority of Taiwan’s manufacturers to pull out of the DRAM market.

Following the lowering of DRAM output and the various delays experienced in the technological migration processes, DRAM bit growth saw a negative revision last year and dropped to less than 30% (a far cry from the traditional 50% growth observed in previous years).

In an attempt to adapt to the changing demands within the end-market, more and more DRAM makers are shifting their attention from PC DRAM to mobile DRAM. While the resulting technological migrations have contributed to an overall increase in DRAM bit growth, new production capacity has yet to be spotted.

The DRAM price situation arguably took a turn for the better in 2013, when market supply and demand gradually returned to healthier levels. The reduced production of PC DRAM has spurred a series of upward price movements, which not only allowed mobile DRAM prices to remain steady, but also led to an increase in server DRAM prices.

Assuming that supply volumes undergo little change, TrendForce forecasts that the DRAM ASP (average selling price) will show a growth of at least 6% during 2013, and that the industry’s overall revenue will rise to approximately $34.6 billion (a growth of 30% compared to the previous year). Due to the popularity of smartphones and tablet PCs, the growth in the output value for mobile DRAM is expected to increase by 31% from last year.

The overall price growths in DRAM products is likely to help many DRAM manufacturers recover from the losses incurred from previous years. As the Korean manufacturers have successfully transitioned to 2Xnm manufacturing processes, their profitability prospects are expected to be relatively better. On the whole, the financial prospects look bright for DRAM manufacturers as the adjustments experienced by the industry come to an end.


So if you were thinking of buying DDR-3 ram in the near future, do it NOW before the price escalates further...

4 GB stick:

http://www.newegg.com/Product/Product.a ... 6820231421

G.SKILL Value Series 4GB 240-Pin DDR3 SDRAM DDR3 1333 (PC3 10600) Desktop Memory Model F3-10600CL9S-4GBNT

$29.99


8 GB ( 2 x 4 GB ) :

http://www.newegg.com/Product/Product.a ... 6820148543

Crucial Ballistix Sport 8GB (2 x 4GB) 240-Pin DDR3 SDRAM DDR3 1333 (PC3 10600) Desktop Memory Model BLS2KIT4G3D1339DS1S00

$54.99


Remember that the numbers quoted in the article are for the COST of the ram, not the RETAIL price ( which goes up when cost goes up, sometimes in exponential fashion even though it should not... ).
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Re: Price of DDR-3 ram going up!!! Buy now...

Postby Sauron_Daz » Tue Apr 23, 2013 12:01 am

Glad I bought my 8 GB when it was cheap.... no need for more ATM.
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Re: Price of DDR-3 ram going up!!! Buy now...

Postby Hammer_Time » Wed Apr 24, 2013 11:48 am

Ram deals on newegg.ca:

http://www.newegg.ca/Product/Product.as ... 48539-L04A

Crucial Ballistix Sport 4GB 240-Pin DDR3 SDRAM DDR3 1600 (PC3 12800) Desktop Memory Model BLS4G3D1609DS1S00

$23.99 with Promo Code: CEMCXSVS38


http://www.newegg.ca/Product/Product.as ... 233246-L0B

CORSAIR Vengeance 16GB (2 x 8GB) 240-Pin DDR3 SDRAM DDR3 1600 (PC3 12800) Desktop Memory Model CMZ16GX3M2A1600C10

$107.52 CDN with Promo Code: CEMCXSVS23
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Re: Price of DDR-3 ram going up!!! Buy now...

Postby Sauron_Daz » Fri Apr 26, 2013 4:16 am

That same Corsair memory here would set me back Eur. 124.33.
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Re: Price of DDR-3 ram going up!!! Buy now...

Postby Hammer_Time » Fri Apr 26, 2013 10:39 am

:shock: That is a massive amount of coinage! :P
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Re: Price of DDR-3 ram going up!!! Buy now...

Postby Sauron_Daz » Fri Apr 26, 2013 11:16 pm

Yea, fortunately I don't need more memory.
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Re: Price of DDR-3 ram going up!!! Buy now...

Postby Silver » Tue Apr 30, 2013 11:44 pm

If 4GB module prices are going up.. where does this leave 8GB or 16GB sticks ??
Maybe 4GB sticks goes up in price because production goes down, in favour of 8GB sticks ??

Don't have time to read all of the first post right now..
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Re: Price of DDR-3 ram going up!!! Buy now...

Postby Sauron_Daz » Wed May 01, 2013 12:10 am

All modules are going up.
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Re: Price of DDR-3 ram going up!!! Buy now...

Postby Hammer_Time » Wed May 01, 2013 10:38 am

yes, all modules are going up...

http://pcpartpicker.com/blog/ram-price-increasing

The Rapidly Rising Cost Of RAM

Posted March 22, 2013 by philip

Per Xbit labs and discussion on Reddit's /r/buildapc, reductions in DRAM supply are causing an increase in DDR3 RAM module prices. The change has been significant, and the results are not pretty...


Image

The gray banding represents the min/max price. Blue highlighting represents the intensity plot of prices. As you can see, over the last week or two the minimum price has increased sharply, and overall prices are trending upward at a fast rate.
It's unclear at this point how much higher the cost of RAM will go. If you're looking to buy in the next few months, this is definitely something you'll want to keep in mind.


They focus on the price of 2 x 4 GB kit ( the most common memory kit sold these days, 2 x 4 GB of DDR-3 1600 Mhz as noted on bottom of graph above ), but ALL DDR-3 memory is increasing in price, due to lowering of supply as mentioned in the original X-bit labs article.
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Re: Price of DDR-3 ram going up!!! Buy now...

Postby Sauron_Daz » Wed May 01, 2013 11:58 pm

Then MS is to blame: W8 didn't increase hardware sales but decreased them.
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Re: Price of DDR-3 ram going up!!! Buy now...

Postby DIREWOLF75 » Thu May 02, 2013 2:39 am

Sauron_Daz wrote:Then MS is to blame: W8 didn't increase hardware sales but decreased them.

MS is always to blame. One way or another.
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Re: Price of DDR-3 ram going up!!! Buy now...

Postby Hammer_Time » Thu May 02, 2013 8:17 am

Windows 8 is part of the problem, but the popularity of tablets and other mobile devices is also to "blame" here for poor pc sales, plus a saturation point in the marketplace... lots of people already have working desktop using W7 or older OS and are perfectly happy with it, no real "need" to upgrade that right now...
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Re: Price of DDR-3 ram going up!!! Buy now...

Postby Sauron_Daz » Fri May 03, 2013 12:29 am

DIREWOLF75 wrote:
Sauron_Daz wrote:Then MS is to blame: W8 didn't increase hardware sales but decreased them.

MS is always to blame. One way or another.

:lol:
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Re: Price of DDR-3 ram going up!!! Buy now...

Postby Silver » Fri May 03, 2013 12:14 pm

Thinking of getting 32GB possibly ECC if im getting the board im thinking about.
wonder if its worth trying to find a 2x16GB kit.
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Re: Price of DDR-3 ram going up!!! Buy now...

Postby Stupify » Fri May 03, 2013 7:33 pm

what is it that you do Silver that you need such high-end/workstation parts? dual socket, ECC ram, 32GB...

you should be able to find 2x16gb kit - try amazon.com -
http://www.amazon.com/Kingston-Technolo ... b+ecc+ddr3
http://www.amazon.com/IBM-PC3-8500-DDR3 ... b+ecc+ddr3

the question still persist - why?
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Re: Price of DDR-3 ram going up!!! Buy now...

Postby Silver » Sat May 04, 2013 12:59 am

why not ?

people asked me why when I got 64MB of RAM..
people marvled over the speed of a 120Mhz 486 etc.

there is no such thing as too fast a computer.

specifically why.. because I feel 16GB is probably what I need at this moment, so why not get just a little more to be on the safe side or think of it as future proofing etc. because I feel like having the ability to upgrade later, starting from say 6-cores to maybe 6+6 or 8+8 or 12+12 or whatever will get released for this socket.
so perhaps because I like the idea of an upgradable computer, without the need for changing the motherboard for a long period of time.
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Re: Price of DDR-3 ram going up!!! Buy now...

Postby DIREWOLF75 » Sat May 04, 2013 4:20 am

why not ?

Because >99% of the time, you wont use all cores fully even in the first cpu?

10 years ago, dual socket made a difference for a home computer, today, unless you have specific software that actually uses more than 8 cores, it´s a waste of money.
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Re: Price of DDR-3 ram going up!!! Buy now...

Postby Stupify » Sun May 05, 2013 6:09 am

why not?

The money that you are putting in for the added future-proofing "overhead" here is just too much to be worth in the long term, especially now. the parts that you are relying on to help you "future-proof" having so much premium - dual socket motherboard, the non-mainstream cpu socket, the registered memory and that too very rare 16GB module. i could easily build another system for that money containing newer version of those parts. There will be a new socket and new dimm standard (ddr4) in matter of few months. Unless you are tapping the x-core beast fully and still need more already, you are investing in an obsolete technology to ensure "future-proofing".

the only reason for the past good decade i have thrown in more money for "future-proofing" was to have as many features (hdmi versionX, displayport, thunderbolt, usbX, gigabit network, [e]sata, ...) to ensure I have the option to use that computer for other purposes when the system becomes obsolete - eg: htpc, nas, kids computer, ... Performance future-proofing has not provided the bang for the buck for over a decade now imo.
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Re: Price of DDR-3 ram going up!!! Buy now...

Postby Silver » Sun May 05, 2013 11:16 am

that was one of the thoughts also.. when its obsolete its still kind of good.. so no need to be scrapped but can be a good second PC.
I will get my tax returns in June sometime.. so will wait atleast until June to decide things.

Also there will probably be new chipsets/motherboards for Ivy Bridge-E/EP but not sure when those are out.. Q3/Q4 maybe.. so thats about a half year away. Anyone know if this will have DDR4 ?
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Re: Price of DDR-3 ram going up!!! Buy now...

Postby Sauron_Daz » Tue May 07, 2013 12:01 pm

Stupify wrote:... Performance future-proofing has not provided the bang for the buck for over a decade now imo.


I don't think it ever did.. Ever since the PC-XT.
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